Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.111267 0.119361 0.127741 0.137072 0.147176 0.157795 0.169807
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.096319 0.107982 0.120666 0.135511 0.152444 0.171192 0.193578
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.085786 0.099035 0.113923 0.131945 0.153238 0.177679 0.207975
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.080885 0.095672 0.112747 0.134008 0.159888 0.190512 0.229712
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.074932 0.090443 0.108769 0.132134 0.161300 0.196722 0.243327
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.070195 0.086259 0.105626 0.130847 0.163049 0.203085 0.257091
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.065205 0.081399 0.101275 0.127648 0.162003 0.205618 0.265785
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.061632 0.078080 0.098606 0.126326 0.163127 0.210782 0.277940
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.059006 0.075800 0.097091 0.126328 0.165851 0.218012 0.293044
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.055868 0.072674 0.094286 0.124419 0.165827 0.221432 0.302939
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.053419 0.070327 0.092368 0.123553 0.167090 0.226544 0.315306
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.052785 0.070363 0.093606 0.126994 0.174390 0.240265 0.340533
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.050509 0.068104 0.091675 0.126015 0.175517 0.245458 0.353854
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048237 0.065757 0.089524 0.124619 0.175966 0.249676 0.365936
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045526 0.062674 0.086202 0.121371 0.173523 0.249475 0.371205
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044647 0.062137 0.086435 0.123250 0.178666 0.260685 0.394518
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042722 0.060018 0.084307 0.121544 0.178328 0.263559 0.404835
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.041082 0.058245 0.082601 0.120372 0.178710 0.267493 0.416953
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.039043 0.055808 0.079827 0.117459 0.176255 0.266856 0.421536
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.037606 0.054208 0.078224 0.116256 0.176385 0.270247 0.432851
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.036580 0.053181 0.077433 0.116257 0.178389 0.276670 0.449505
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.035149 0.051492 0.075581 0.114518 0.177516 0.278366 0.458142
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.034039 0.050253 0.074366 0.113729 0.178126 0.282479 0.471104